Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 1
Famalicao

Duarte (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vinicios (19')
Nathan (24'), Sa (50'), Mihaj (70'), Chiquinho (75'), Junior (78'), de Haas (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Farense
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Famalicao
28.61% ( 0.03)	26.65% ( 0.02)	44.75% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.7% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.15% (

-0.07)

54.85% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.85% (

-0.06)

76.15% (

0.06)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74% (

-0.01)

34.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

-0.01)

70.96% (

0.01)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-0.06)

24.4% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

-0.08)

58.83% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 28.61%

Famalicao 44.75%

Draw 26.64%

SC Farense	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.61%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.75%