MX23RW : Friday, April 19 05:16:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Arouca

Chaves
1 - 5
Arouca

Guzzo (16')
Pius (38')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cristo (35'), Mujica (40', 49'), Jason (47'), Sylla (53')
Sylla (42'), Cristo (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Chaves
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Famalicao
Friday, February 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-2 Arouca

Chaves have shown important signs of improvement in recent weeks and will be desperate to move within touching distance of safety with a home win on Friday, but they meet an Arouca side who are full of momentum and playing at their best, and we see the visitors being too strong and making it six wins from a seven-match span. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawArouca
31.66% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 26.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 42.12% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (0.032999999999994 0.03)51.94% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (0.029 0.03)73.68% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47%30.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.75% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.42% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (0.042999999999999 0.04)58.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 31.66%
    Arouca 42.12%
    Draw 26.22%
ChavesDrawArouca
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.66%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Chaves vs Arouca

Chaves
20.7%
Draw
20.7%
Arouca
58.6%
29
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
0-2
Chaves

Sylla (1'), Weverson (45+2'), Trezza (53')
Simao (45+3')
Hernandez (53' pen.), Correia (85')
Correia (35'), Souza (45+1'), Hernandez (53'), Guimaraes (64'), Nogueira (73')
May 20, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Arouca
1-0
Chaves
Sylla (63' pen.)
Ruiz (43'), Antony (45+3')

Guimaraes (13'), Obiora (72'), Cruz (78')
Jan 15, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Chaves
1-1
Arouca
Vitoria (17' pen.)
Basso (79' pen.)
Feb 18, 2017 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Arouca
Bressan (8'), Martins (80')
Queiros (67'), Martins (69')

Nelsinho (6'), Valente (88'), Velazquez (90')
Sep 18, 2016 4pm
Arouca
0-1
Chaves
Perdigao (44')
Martins (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon29252284275777
2Benfica29224365234270
3Porto29185653233059
4Braga29185661402159
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes29176645291657
6MoreirenseMoreirense29127103033-343
7AroucaArouca291341250391143
8FamalicaoFamalicao29811103136-535
9Casa Pia2988132941-1232
10SC FarenseFarense2987143841-331
11Rio AveRio Ave2951593137-630
12BoavistaBoavista2978143455-2129
13Estoril PraiaEstoril2985164350-729
14Gil Vicente2977153648-1228
15Estrela Amadora29610133145-1428
16PortimonensePortimonense2976163262-3027
17ChavesChaves2957172860-3222
18Vizela2949162860-3221


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