Taca de Portugal
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-
Angel di Maria
45'+3'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
52'
-
Rafa Silva
64'
-
Roger Schmidt
90'+7'
-
Morten Hjulmand
47'
-
Goncalo Inacio
49'
-
Paulinho
55'
-
Hidemasa Morita
72'
-
Franco Israel
77'
-
Marcus Edwards
90'+2'
Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Benfica
53.77%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
22.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Sporting Lisbon
23.48%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
57.45%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.53%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
42.47%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
35.12%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
64.88%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
18.36%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
81.64%
▲
(+0.06)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
84.23%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
15.77%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
55.11%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
44.89%
▲
(+0.09)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
68.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
31.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
31.77%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
68.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Benfica
53.77%
Draw
22.75%
Sporting Lisbon
23.48%
Benfica
2-1
@
9.8%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.77%
1-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.77%
Draw
1-1
@
10.61%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.75%
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.75%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
@
6.08%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 23.48%
0-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 23.48%
Head to Head
Taca de Portugal
-
Pedro Goncalves
9'
-
Morten Hjulmand
33'
-
Paulinho
41'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
54'
-
Roger Schmidt
0'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
31'
-
Fredrik Aursnes
68'
-
Angel di Maria
74'
-
Orkun Kokcu
75'
-
Rafa Silva
78'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Joao Mario
66'
-
Joao Neves
75'
-
Joao Neves
90'+4'
-
Casper Tengstedt
90'+7'
-
Sebastian Coates
15'
-
Goncalo Inacio
22'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
45'
-
Goncalo Inacio
51'
-
Marcus Edwards
57'
-
Morten Hjulmand
69'
-
Luis Neto
90'+11'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
33
-
Francisco Trincao
39'
-
Ousmane Diomande
44'
-
Fredrik Aursnes
71'
-
Joao Neves
90'+4'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
16
-
Goncalo Ramos
37'
-
Goncalo Ramos
64'
-
Alexander Bah
27'
-
Pedro Goncalves
53'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
30
-
Pablo Sarabia
13'
-
Paulinho
51'
-
Darwin Nunez
14'
-
Everton
41'
-
Jan Vertonghen
51'
-
Adel Taarabt
75'
-
Gil Dias
90'+2'
Taca da Liga
-
Everton
23'
-
Jan Vertonghen
53'
-
Everton
58'
-
Joao Mario
90'+2'
-
Luis Neto
31'
-
Goncalo Inacio
49'
-
Paulinho
53'
-
Matheus Nunes
59'
-
Ricardo Esgaio
77'
-
Pablo Sarabia
78'