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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
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Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Boavista

Sporting Lisbon
6 - 1
Boavista

Gyokeres (45', 68', 79' pen.), Paulinho (54', 90+5'), Santos (88')
Hjulmand (32'), St Juste (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Makouta (3')
Agra (32'), Malheiro (41'), Perez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Boavista

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBoavista
80.71% (0.474 0.47)12.36% (-0.393 -0.39)6.93% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.93% (1.345 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.28% (1.816 1.82)29.72% (-1.821 -1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.14% (2.167 2.17)50.85% (-2.173 -2.17)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.37% (0.446 0.45)5.62% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.19% (1.276 1.28)21.8% (-1.281 -1.28)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (1.179 1.18)47.09% (-1.185 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (0.874 0.87)82.55% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 80.7%
    Boavista 6.93%
    Draw 12.36%
Sporting LisbonDrawBoavista
2-0 @ 10.96% (-0.54 -0.54)
3-0 @ 10.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.592 -0.59)
4-0 @ 7.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.7% (0.224 0.22)
5-0 @ 4.36% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 3.28% (0.214 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.135 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.153 0.15)
6-0 @ 2.09% (0.124 0.12)
6-1 @ 1.58% (0.142 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 80.7%
1-1 @ 5.74% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 12.36%
1-2 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.99% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 6.93%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Boavista

Sporting Lisbon
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Boavista
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Boavista
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Awaziem (45+2'), Morais (47'), Ferreira (59')
Catamo (37'), Goncalves (85')
Edwards (74'), Hjulmand (90+7')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Boavista
Santos (17'), Agra (43' og.), Paulinho (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Boavista
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Lourenco (45+2', 83' pen.)
Edwards (55')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Boavista
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Gorre (23'), Abascal (81')
Nunes (37'), Abascal (58' og.), Tabata (83' pen.)
Neto (35'), Inacio (79')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Boavista
Sarabia (53'), Santos (59')

Porozo (90+3')
> Preview