Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Moreirense |
| 30.81% ( | 26.63% ( | 42.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( | 53.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( | 75.35% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( | 32.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.4% ( | 68.6% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( | 25.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( | 59.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.81% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.55% |