Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.