Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
3 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Young Boys
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
16.03% (-3.103 -3.1)21.27% (-0.883 -0.88)62.71% (3.988 3.99)
Both teams to score 49.71% (-3.277 -3.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-1.269 -1.27)46.59% (1.27 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-1.201 -1.2)68.86% (1.202 1.2)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.97% (-4.439 -4.44)42.03% (4.438 4.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.54% (-4.09 -4.09)78.46% (4.091 4.09)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (0.848 0.85)14.25% (-0.847 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.98% (1.625 1.63)42.02% (-1.624 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 16.03%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.7%
    Draw 21.26%
Rio AveDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 4.38% (-0.752 -0.75)
2-0 @ 2.25% (-0.467 -0.47)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.408 -0.41)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 16.03%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.314 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.584 -0.58)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.26%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.94 0.94)
0-2 @ 11.36% (1.22 1.22)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 7.38% (0.991 0.99)
1-3 @ 6.4% (0.145 0.15)
0-4 @ 3.6% (0.575 0.58)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.259 0.26)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 62.7%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Sporting Lisbon
85.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 19
Rio Ave
0-1
Sporting Lisbon
Chermiti (84')
> Preview
Dec 7, 2022 8.30pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Inacio (62'), Boateng (73' og.)
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Rio Ave
Goncalves (36', 75'), Nunes (67')
Ugarte (61')

Ferreira (64'), Oudrhiri (83')
> Preview
May 5, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 31
Rio Ave
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Augusto (23'), Aderlan (38'), Coentrao (65'), Brandao (90+4')
Tarantini (62')
Goncalves (34' pen.), Paulinho (63')
Mendes (26'), Feddal (42'), Palhinha (74'), Neto (90+3'), Coates (90+4')
> Preview