Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
3 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Young Boys
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
16.03% ( -3.1)	21.27% ( -0.88)	62.71% ( 3.99)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

-3.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

-1.27)

46.59% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

-1.2)

68.86% (

1.2)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.97% (

-4.44)

42.03% (

4.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54% (

-4.09)

78.46% (

4.09)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.75% (

0.85)

14.25% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.98% (

1.63)

42.02% (

-1.62)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 16.03%

Sporting Lisbon 62.7%

Draw 21.26%

Rio Ave	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.03%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.26%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.94) 0-2 @ 11.36% ( 1.22) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 7.38% ( 0.99) 1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.58) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.29) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.7%