Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 7, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Sporting Lisbon

Uniao de Leiria
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon


Ouattara (19'), Bura (41'), Empis (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gyokeres (32', 74'), Goncalves (37')
Santos (15'), Edwards (39'), Trincao (45+4'), Neto (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Uniao de Leiria and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uniao de Leiria

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Last Game: Maritimo 0-3 Uniao de Leiria
Wednesday, January 10 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
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Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 8-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Uniao de Leiria win it was 1-0 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Uniao de LeiriaDrawSporting Lisbon
13.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)19.35%66.98% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)65.39% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Uniao de Leiria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9%43.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)79.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)11.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Uniao de Leiria 13.67%
    Sporting Lisbon 66.96%
    Draw 19.35%
Uniao de LeiriaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.16%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.67%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 11.61%
0-1 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-3 @ 8.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 4.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 66.96%

How you voted: Uniao de Leiria vs Sporting Lisbon

Uniao de Leiria
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Sporting Lisbon
83.3%
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