Viseu
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal do Fontelo

Viseu
1 - 3
Uniao de Leiria

Quizera (78')
Messeguem (53'), Simonsen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vega (21'), Baixinho (45'), Rochez (81')
Silva (4'), Silva (50'), Rochez (84'), Nunes (90+2')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Academico de Viseu and Uniao de Leiria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Academico de Viseu

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Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Viseu
Saturday, July 22 at 11am in Taca da Liga
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Uniao de Leiria

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Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 3-3 Nacional (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academico de Viseu win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Academico de Viseu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Uniao de Leiria win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Academico de ViseuDrawUniao de Leiria
40.98% (0.161 0.16)26.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)32.19% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Both teams to score 50.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)54.2% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)75.6% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Academico de Viseu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)26.03% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93% (0.077999999999996 0.08)61.06% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Uniao de Leiria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)31.31% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.171 -0.17)67.67% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Academico de Viseu 40.98%
    Uniao de Leiria 32.2%
    Draw 26.81%
Academico de ViseuDrawUniao de Leiria
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.2%