Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 6, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Atalanta

(Atalanta BC win 3-2 on aggregate)

Paulinho (17')
Edwards (36')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Scamacca (39')
Hien (14'), Scalvini (49'), Djimsiti (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Farense
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Atalanta BC
68.66% ( -0.16)	17.77% ( 0.03)	13.57% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.27% (

0.16)

35.73% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.2% (

0.17)

57.8% (

-0.17)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.54% (

9.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.24% (

0.01)

31.76% (

-0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41% (

0.29)

38.59% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67% (

0.27)

75.33% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 68.65%

Atalanta BC 13.57%

Draw 17.77%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.39% Total : 68.65%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.77%	1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.48% 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.57%