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Leonel Bucca
16'
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Leo Cordeiro
31'
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Aloisio Genezio
37'
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Regis N'do
67'
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Matheus Reis
22'
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Paulinho
23'
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Nuno Santos
40'
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Estrela Amadora Goals
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 12.57%
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.57%
0-1 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 68.86%
Head to Head
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Daniel Braganca
33'
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Marcus Edwards
71'
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Pedro Goncalves
76'
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Paulinho
79'
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Leo Jaba
50'
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Kikas
55'
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Kikas
66'