Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Bucca (16')
Cordeiro (31'), Genezio (37'), N'do (67')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Paulinho (23'), Santos (40')
Reis (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-1 Boavista
Sunday, March 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
12.57% ( -0.15)	18.57% ( -0.05)	68.87% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 49.58% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

-0.16)

42.05% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54% (

-0.16)

64.46% (

0.16)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79% (

-0.35)

44.21% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.7% (

-0.29)

80.3% (

0.29)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.87% (

0.01)

11.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.44% (

0.02)

35.56% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 12.57%

Sporting Lisbon 68.86%

Draw 18.57%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.57%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.57%	0-2 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 68.86%