Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 62.28% ( | 21.91% ( | 15.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( | 49.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( | 71.64% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( | 15.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( | 44.19% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.85% ( | 44.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.76% ( | 80.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 2-2 @ 3.98% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.81% |