Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Moreirense

Benfica
3 - 0
Moreirense

Kokcu (18'), Araujo (45+1'), Rollheiser (78')
Fernandez (61'), Rollheiser (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramos (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Marseille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawMoreirense
71.67% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)17.1% (0.27 0.27)11.23% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.532 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)38.77% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)61.08% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.46% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)9.54% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.04% (-0.431 -0.43)31.96% (0.432 0.43)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.67% (0.702 0.7)44.33% (-0.7 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.61% (0.565 0.57)80.39% (-0.562 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 71.66%
    Moreirense 11.23%
    Draw 17.1%
BenficaDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 11.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.14% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 7.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.37% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.52% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 71.66%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 17.1%
0-1 @ 3.44% (0.079 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 11.23%

How you voted: Benfica vs Moreirense

Benfica
75.0%
Draw
17.9%
Moreirense
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Moreirense
0-0
Benfica
Ramos (23'), de Brito Gonzaga (45+4'), Franco (46'), Marcelo (50')
Kokcu (79')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Moreirense
1-1
Benfica
Luis (25' pen.)
Ramos (43')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 18
Benfica
1-1
Moreirense
Nunez (65')
Silva (55'), Otamendi (86'), Grimaldo (90+6')
Gilberto (61' og.)
Pacheco (40'), Martins (45+1'), Paulinho (72'), Jorge (89'), Kewin (90+6')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 1
Moreirense
1-2
Benfica
Martins (30')
Soares (36'), Pires (69'), Jorge (75'), Pacheco (90+3')
Verissimo (9'), Waldschmidt (19')
Taarabt (33'), Weigl (60'), Meite (81'), Silva (90+8')
Goncalves (56')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 19
Moreirense
1-1
Benfica
Yan (40' pen.)
Ba (58'), Pacheco (70')
Seferovic (25')
Grimaldo (38'), Weigl (65'), Otamendi (73')
> Preview