Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2024 at 6pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 2
Estrela Amadora

Castro (26'), Brigido (43' og.)
Mingotti (70'), Franco (79'), de Brito Gonzaga (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Luiz (54'), Kikas (83')
Mansur (41'), Vieira (42'), Gaspar (44')
Mansur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
56.33% ( 0.05)	24% ( -0.01)	19.67% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.83% (

-0.02)

52.16% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12% (

-0.02)

73.88% (

0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

0.01)

18.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

0.02)

49.48% (

-0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

-0.07)

40.97% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.47% (

-0.06)

77.53% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 56.33%

Estrela Amadora 19.67%

Draw 23.99%

Moreirense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.33%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.67%