Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Arouca

Infande (10')
Ofori (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kouassi (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
35.93% ( 0.27)	26.05% ( 0.28)	38.02% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 54.03% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.58% (

-1.19)

50.42% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-1.07)

72.35% (

1.07)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

-0.41)

27.09% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.53% (

-0.54)

62.47% (

0.54)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0.84)

25.9% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11% (

-1.16)

60.88% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 35.93%

Arouca 38.02%

Draw 26.04%

Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.93%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.02%