Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.