Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Nice |
| 30.49% ( | 26.34% ( | 43.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( | 52.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( | 74.46% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( | 68.24% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( | 24.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.34% ( | 58.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 3-0 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.17% |