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Le Havre
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Lille
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Marseille
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Monaco
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Nice
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Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
PSG logo

Nice
1 - 2
PSG

Cho (32')
Rosario (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barcola (18'), Zague (23')
Zague (20'), Beraldo (26'), Marquinhos (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawParis Saint-Germain
31.01% (0.052000000000003 0.05)24.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.58% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (0.050000000000004 0.05)46.51% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (0.045999999999999 0.05)68.79% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (0.059999999999988 0.06)28.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (0.074999999999996 0.07)63.96% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 31.01%
    Paris Saint-Germain 44.1%
    Draw 24.89%
NiceDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.1%

How you voted: Nice vs PSG

Nice
21.5%
Draw
22.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
55.7%
158
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 8.10pm
Quarter-Finals
PSG
3-1
Nice
Mbappe (14'), Ruiz (33'), Beraldo (60')
Laborde (37')
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
PSG
2-3
Nice
Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')
Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
0-2
PSG
Messi (26'), Ramos (76')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
2-1
Nice
Messi (29'), Mbappe (83')
Laborde (47')
Mar 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-0
PSG
Delort (88')
Lemina (33')