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Le Havre
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Lille
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Lyon
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
PSG logo

Lorient
1 - 4
PSG

Bamba (73')
Bakayoko (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dembele (19', 60'), Mbappe (22', 90')
Mendes (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Despite picking up four points from their last two Ligue 1 meetings with PSG — a 3-1 win in Paris in April 2023 and a goalless game in this season's reverse fixture — Enrique's team should end that two-match winless sequence against Les Merlus on Wednesday, taking another step towards a 12th top-flight crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 9.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawParis Saint-Germain
9.53% (-0.0419 -0.04) 14.35% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 76.12% (0.059999999999988 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.89% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)30.11% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.68% (-0.1 -0.1)51.32% (0.104 0.1)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (-0.147 -0.15)41.42% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (-0.131 -0.13)77.93% (0.13499999999999 0.13)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)6.53% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.37% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 9.53%
    Paris Saint-Germain 76.12%
    Draw 14.35%
LorientDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.53%
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.35%
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 9.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 2.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.55% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-6 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 76.12%

How you voted: Lorient vs PSG

Lorient
9.3%
Draw
8.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
82.2%
129
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 8pm
Apr 30, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
1-3
Lorient
Mbappe (29')
Le Fee (15'), Yongwa (39'), Dieng (88')
Nov 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 14
Lorient
1-2
PSG
Moffi (53')
Neymar (9'), Pereira (81')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
5-1
Lorient
Neymar (12', 90'), Mbappe (28', 67'), Messi (73')
Gueye (53'), Kimpembe (57')
Moffi (56')
Kone (38')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lorient
1-1
PSG
Monconduit (40')
Ouattara (43')
Icardi (90+1')
Ramos (81'), Wijnaldum (85')
Ramos (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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