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Tiemoue Bakayoko
63'
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Mohamed Bamba
73'
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Ousmane Dembele
19'
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Kylian Mbappe
22'
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Nuno Mendes
26'
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Ousmane Dembele
60'
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Kylian Mbappe
90'
Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 9.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Lorient Goals
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.53%
2-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.35%
0-3 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-6 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-6 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 76.12%
Sergio Ramos
86'