Champions League

Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
0 - 1
Dortmund

(Borussia Dortmund win 2-0 on aggregate)

Dembele (75'), Hakimi (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hummels (50')
Sabitzer (64'), Hummels (65')

Reaction

Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag on May 6, 2024

Manchester United 'to receive financial boost after Borussia Dortmund reach Champions League final'

Manchester United are reportedly set to earn cash windfall from Jadon Sancho's loan agreement, following Borussia Dortmund's advancement to the Champions League final.

May 8, 19:53

Paris Saint-Germain's Kylian Mbappe looks dejected after the match on May 7, 2024

Kylian Mbappe rolls eyes at Real Madrid question after PSG elimination

Kylian Mbappe rolls his eyes and refuses to answer questions about Real Madrid following Paris Saint-Germain's Champions League semi-final exit to Borussia Dortmund.

May 8, 07:32

Paris Saint-Germain set two unwanted Champions League records in Borussia Dortmund defeat

Paris Saint-Germain set two unwanted Champions League records in Tuesday's semi-final defeat at the Parc des Princes.

May 7, 23:29

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 PSG
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.48%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 19.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
60.48% ( 2.14)	19.59% ( -0.14)	19.92% ( -2.01)

Both teams to score 63.59% (

-2.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.92% (

-2.26)

32.08% (

2.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.34% (

-2.68)

53.66% (

2.68)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.59% (

-0.15)

10.4% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.05% (

-0.34)

33.94% (

0.33)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

-3.06)

29.02% (

3.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

-3.95)

64.92% (

3.94)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 60.48%

Borussia Dortmund 19.92%

Draw 19.59%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.77) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.32) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.41% Total : 60.48%	1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.59%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.1% Total : 19.92%