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Ousmane Dembele
75'
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Achraf Hakimi
84'
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Mats Hummels
50'
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Marcel Sabitzer
64'
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Mats Hummels
65'
Paris Saint-Germain vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F19%2Ferik-ten-hag.JPG)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F19%2Fborussia-dortmund.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Fborussia-dortmund.jpg)
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fborussia-dortmund.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.48%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 19.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result
Paris Saint-Germain
60.48%
▲
(+2.15)
Draw
19.59%
▼
(-0.14)
Borussia Dortmund
19.92%
▼
(-2.02)
Both Teams to Score:
63.59%
▼
(-2.85)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.92%
▼
(-2.26)
Under 2.5
32.08%
▲
(+2.26)
Over 3.5
46.34%
▼
(-2.69)
Under 3.5
53.66%
▲
(+2.68)
Over 4.5
27.46%
▼
(-2.39)
Under 4.5
72.54%
▲
(+2.39)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5
89.59%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
10.4%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
66.05%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
33.94%
▲
(+0.34)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
70.98%
▼
(-3.06)
Under 0.5
29.02%
▲
(+3.06)
Over 1.5
35.07%
▼
(-3.95)
Under 1.5
64.92%
▲
(+3.95)
Score analysis
Paris Saint-Germain
60.48%
Draw
19.59%
Borussia Dortmund
19.92%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1
@
9.56%
▲
(+0.26)
2-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.83)
3-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.77)
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.59)
3-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.31)
4-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.32)
4-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.14)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.10)
4-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 60.48%
2-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.83)
3-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.77)
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.59)
3-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.31)
4-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.32)
4-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.14)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.10)
4-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 60.48%
Draw
1-1
@
8.45%
▲
(+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.37)
0-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.59%
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.37)
0-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.59%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
5.23%
▼
(-0.29)
0-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 19.92%
Head to Head
Emre Can
89'
Build-up
Head to head
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F20%2Fmats-hummels-emre-can-nico-schlotterbeck.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F18%2Flucas-hernandez.jpg)