Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.