Champions League
Apr 10, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo De Paul 4' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 5' goal
  • Samuel Lino 27' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 28' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 32' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emre Can 24'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 53'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 81'

Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result

Atletico Madrid 45.28% (+0.25)
Draw 23.15% (+0.05)
Borussia Dortmund 31.58% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.05% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.85% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 38.15% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 39.58% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 60.42% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 21.81% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 78.2% (+0.30)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 82.74% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 17.26% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 52.42% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 47.58% (+0.07)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 76.2% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 23.8% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 42.04% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 57.96% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 45.28%
Draw 23.14%
Borussia Dortmund 31.58%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.1% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.22% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.34% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 45.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.14%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.58%

Head to Head

Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 6, 2018 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Angel Correa 6' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 33' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 80' goal
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 31'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 90'
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 90'
Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 24, 2018 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Abdou Diallo 13' yellowcard
  • Axel Witsel 38' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 73' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 83' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 89' goal
  • Dan-Axel Zagadou 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 35'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 45'
  • yellowcard Filipe Luis 82'
  • yellowcard Diego Costa 87'
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 90'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups