La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
Betis

Silva (8' og.), Morata (44')
De Paul (18')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Carvalho (62')
Pezzella (67'), Rodriguez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Betis

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
55.15% ( 1.21)	23.42% ( -0.33)	21.43% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 52.54% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.3% (

0.39)

47.69% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.11% (

0.36)

69.89% (

-0.36)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

0.58)

17.15% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.61% (

1.02)

47.39% (

-1.02)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

-0.63)

36.58% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.63% (

-0.64)

73.37% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.15%

Real Betis 21.43%

Draw 23.41%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.15%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.43%