Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.