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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
2 - 0
Atletico

Juanmi (24', 64')
Juanmi (31'), Sobrino (48'), Alcaraz (71'), Alejo (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Depay (30'), Molina (52'), Morata (62'), Vermeeren (84'), Llorente (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form this season has been disappointing, but they will fancy their chances of beating their relegation-threatened opponents on Saturday. Cadiz have drawn a league-high 13 games this term, but we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
25.89% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 47.43% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)56.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (-0.029 -0.03)77.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.151 -0.15)37.36% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.15 -0.15)74.15% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.84% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.088000000000001 0.09)58.02% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 25.89%
    Atletico Madrid 47.43%
    Draw 26.67%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 12.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.43%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
6.9%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
78.4%
102
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
3-2
Cadiz
Correa (32', 66'), Molina (46')
Koke (12')
Pires (12'), Marti (27')
Marti (39'), Sobrino (90+2'), Kouame (90+3')
May 3, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
5-1
Cadiz
Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')
Lozano (72')
Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cadiz
3-2
Atletico
Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Club Friendlies
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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