Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.89% ( -0.15) | 26.68% ( -0.02) | 47.43% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 47.71% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( -0.04) | 56.49% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.51% ( -0.03) | 77.49% ( 0.03) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.64% ( -0.15) | 37.36% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% ( -0.15) | 74.15% ( 0.15) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( 0.06) | 23.84% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( 0.09) | 58.02% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.89% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |