Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
46.21% ( -0.57) | 27.51% ( -0.13) | 26.27% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 45.71% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.79% ( 0.83) | 59.2% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.37% ( 0.63) | 79.63% ( -0.64) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.09) | 25.63% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( 0.13) | 60.52% ( -0.13) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( 1.07) | 38.53% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.71% ( 1.01) | 75.28% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.55% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |