Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
| 46.21% ( | 27.51% ( | 26.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.79% ( | 59.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% ( | 79.63% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( | 25.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( | 60.52% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( | 38.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( | 75.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 26.27% |