Champions League
Mar 13, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Antoine Griezmann 35' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 41' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 87' goal
  • Koke 90' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Dimarco 33'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 104'
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 105'+2'
  • yellowcard Yann Aurel Bisseck 118'

Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 20, 2024 8.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Atletico

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 20, 2024 8.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 40.06% (+2.08)
Draw 26.15% (+0.65)
Inter Milan 33.78% (-2.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35% (-2.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.85% (-3.14)
Under 2.5 51.14% (+3.14)
Over 3.5 27.01% (-2.82)
Under 3.5 72.99% (+2.82)
Over 4.5 12.65% (-1.90)
Under 4.5 87.34% (+1.90)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.87% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 25.12% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 40.17% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 59.83% (+0.45)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 71.25% (-3.13)
Under 0.5 28.75% (+3.13)
Over 1.5 35.41% (-4.07)
Under 1.5 64.59% (+4.07)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 40.06%
Draw 26.15%
Inter Milan 33.78%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.98% (+1.12)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 6.89% (+0.72)
3-1 @ 3.96% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.17% (+0.31)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.37)
0-0 @ 7.22% (+0.87)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 9% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.47)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.29)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.51)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.35)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.38)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.27)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.78%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 20, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marko Arnautovic 79' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 86' yellowcard
  • Carlos Augusto 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 53'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 82'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 84'
  • yellowcard Koke 90'+2'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 11, 2018 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Diego Costa 24' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 31'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 64'