Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
Inter Milan

(2-2 on aggregate)

Griezmann (35'), Depay (87')
Hermoso (41'), Koke (90')

FT
(aet)

Dimarco (33')
Calhanoglu (104'), Acerbi (105+2'), Aurel Bisseck (118')

Atletico win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Atletico Madrid beat last season's finalists Inter Milan 3-2 on penalties to progress to the Champions League quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Inter Milan
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Inter Milan
40.06% ( 2.07)	26.15% ( 0.64)	33.78% ( -2.72)

Both teams to score 53.35% (

-2.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.85% (

-3.13)

51.14% (

3.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01% (

-2.81)

72.99% (

2.81)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

-0.32)

25.12% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.17% (

-0.44)

59.83% (

0.44)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-3.12)

28.75% (

3.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.41% (

-4.07)

64.59% (

4.07)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 40.06%

Inter Milan 33.78%

Draw 26.15%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 9% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.37) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.78%