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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Girona logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Girona

Griezmann (34' pen., 50'), Correa (45+6')
Niguez (25'), Simeone (26'), Correa (35'), Llorente (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dovbyk (4')
Herrera (32'), Couto (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Girona 3-2 Betis
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Girona

This is a really difficult match to call, as Girona will fancy their chances of taking advantage of Atletico's energy-sapping contest against Dortmund. Girona's recent away form cannot be ignored, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to edge what should be a very interesting fixture in the Spanish capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
50.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 23.12% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 26.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.51% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)41.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)63.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)16.53% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)46.28% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.010999999999996 0.01)64.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 50.36%
    Girona 26.53%
    Draw 23.11%
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.53%

How you voted: Atletico vs Girona

Atletico Madrid
67.4%
Draw
14.0%
Girona
18.6%
86
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Girona
4-3
Atletico
Fernandez (2'), Savio (26'), Blind (39'), Martin (90+1')
Morata (14', 44', 54')
Hermoso (90')
Mar 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Girona
0-1
Atletico
Morata (90+1')
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
2-1
Girona
Correa (5', 48')
Riquelme (66')
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
2-0
Girona
Godin (76'), Griezmann (90')
Arias (48')
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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