Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Girona |
50.36% (![]() | 23.12% (![]() | 26.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.75% (![]() | 41.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.36% (![]() | 63.64% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.47% (![]() | 16.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.72% (![]() | 46.28% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% (![]() | 28.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% (![]() | 64.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | GironaGirona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Real BetisBetis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> La Liga Full Table |