Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.