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La Liga

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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Getafe logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Getafe

Duro (40')
Pepelu (67'), Guillamon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moriba (43'), Angel Carmona (78'), Dakonam (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Getafe

All competitions
Last Game: Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawGetafe
51.32% (0.034999999999997 0.03)26.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)22.45% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)78.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)41.1% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)77.65% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 51.3%
    Getafe 22.45%
    Draw 26.23%
ValenciaDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.3%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Valencia vs Getafe

Valencia
69.1%
Draw
25.5%
Getafe
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (87')
Milla (57'), Dakonam (62')
Duarte (90+2')

Correia (42'), Paulista (43'), Baraja (43'), Foulquier (90+3')
Paulista (50'), Guerra (88')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (82')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Valencia
5-1
Getafe
Lato (7'), Lino (14'), Castillejo (16'), Gonzalez (65'), Duro (68')
Alvarez (78')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Getafe
0-0
Valencia
Ramirez (39'), Alena (49'), Mayoral (73'), Flores (73'), Mata (80'), Maksimovic (90+2'), Olivera (90+4')
Alderete (31'), Guillamon (82'), Moriba (87'), Foulquier (90+4'), Costa (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-0
Getafe
Soler (11' pen.)
Wass (13'), Soler (50'), Gomez (57'), Gaya (70'), Jason (90+2'), Alderete (90+6')
Guillamon (3')

Olivera (31'), Cabaco (38'), Miguel Gonzalez Martin del Campo (83')
Cabaco (76')
> Preview