Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Dortmund
Apr 21, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
B. Leverkusen
  • Ian Maatsen 37' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 81' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 28'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 88'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 90'+1'
  • goal Josip Stanisic 90'+7'

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach 1 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 0 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 27.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 21.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen 50.3% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.67% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.09% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 34.9% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 43.11% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 56.88% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 24.69% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 75.3% ▲ (+0.11)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 75.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 24.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.92% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.07% ▲ (+0.06)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 85.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 14.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 58% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 42% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 27.71%
Draw 21.99%
Bayer Leverkusen 50.3%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.99%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 50.3%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
Dec 3, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
Dortmund
  • Jeremie Frimpong 12' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 74' yellowcard
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 79' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Ryerson 5'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Dortmund
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 33'
  • goal Edmond Tapsoba 53' (OG)
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Dortmund
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Marco Reus 10' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 43' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 27'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 37'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 56'
  • redcard Lukas Hradecky 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Dortmund
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Jeremie Frimpong 16' goal
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 26' yellowcard
  • Steffen Tigges 89' goal
  • goal Manuel Akanji 11' (OG)
  • goal Florian Wirtz 20'
  • goal Robert Andrich 28'
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 46'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 53'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT
Dortmund
  • Florian Wirtz 9' goal
  • Patrik Schick 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 55' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 60' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 70' yellowcard
  • Kossonou Odilon 75' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 20'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 37'
  • goal Julian Brandt 49'
  • yellowcard Erling Braut Haaland 60'
  • goal Raphael Guerreiro 71'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Dortmund
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Erling Braut Haaland 5' goal
  • Marco Reus 51' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 84' goal
  • goal Lars Bender 89'

Form Data

Dortmund 4 - 2 Atletico
Borussia M'bach 1 - 2 Dortmund
Atletico 2 - 1 Dortmund
Dortmund 0 - 1 Stuttgart
Bayern 0 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 1 Frankfurt
West Ham 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 5 - 0 Werder Bremen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 West Ham
Union Berlin 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 Dusseldorf
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Hoffenheim