Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 14, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 0
Werder Bremen

Boniface (25' pen.), Xhaka (60'), Wirtz (68', 83', 90')
Adli (31'), Hincapie (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bittencourt (47')

The Match

Match Report

Bayer Leverkusen secure the Bundesliga title for the first time in their history courtesy of a 5-0 win over Werder Bremen on Sunday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 West Ham
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Werder Bremen
Friday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 82.87%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.14%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
82.87% ( 0.94)	11.14% ( -0.25)	5.99% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

-3.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.65% (

-2.02)

27.35% (

2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.07% (

-2.58)

47.93% (

2.59)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.2% (

-0.22)

4.81% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.61% (

-0.67)

19.39% (

0.67)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.11% (

-3.7)

47.89% (

3.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.85% (

-2.87)

83.15% (

2.87)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 82.86%

Werder Bremen 5.99%

Draw 11.14%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.98) 4-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.74) 4-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.39) 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.34) 6-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.23) 7-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.26% Total : 82.86%	1-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.82% Total : 11.14%	1-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.99%