Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
  • Robert Andrich 88' goal
  • Patrik Schick 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Tim Drexler 19'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 33'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
Hoffenheim 0 - 3 Stuttgart
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Maximilian Beier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 83.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 83.74%
Draw 10.48% (+0.01)
Hoffenheim 5.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.65% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.5% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 24.5% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 55.74% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 44.26% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 36.21% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 63.79% (+0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 95.83% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 4.16% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 82.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 17.39% (+0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 53.89% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 46.1% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 18.19%
Under 1.5 81.8% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 83.74%
Draw 10.48%
Hoffenheim 5.77%
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0 @ 10.27%
2-0 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.51% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.32%
1-0 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.19%
5-1 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08%
6-0 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.45%
6-1 @ 2.13%
5-2 @ 1.56%
7-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 83.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.91%
0-0 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 10.48%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 1.83%
0-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 5.77%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Campo La Quinta
  • Wout Weghorst 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ozan Kabak 48' yellowcard
  • Anton Stach 56' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 58' goal
  • Grischa Promel 60' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Wirtz 9'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 45'+1'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 70'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 72'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Stanley Nsoki 77' goal
  • goal Robert Andrich 6'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 46'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 56'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Moussa Diaby 56' yellowcard
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 9'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 35'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 57'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 74'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 78'
  • yellowcard Angelino 83'
  • yellowcard Kevin Akpoguma 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Georginio Rutter 22' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 36' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 66' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 34'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 73'
  • goal Patrik Schick 76'
  • goal Lucas Alario 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Moussa Diaby 21' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 37' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 60' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 63' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 85' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 86' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 21'
  • yellowcard David Raum 28'
  • goal Angelo Stiller 80'
  • goal Moanes Dabour 83'
  • yellowcard Moanes Dabour 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 12, 2021 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christoph Baumgartner 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wendell 81'