B. Leverkusen

2 - 1

Hoffenheim

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 83.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.