Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Freiburg
Mar 17, 2024 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
B. Leverkusen
  • Ritsu Doan 10' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 72' yellowcard
  • Yannik Keitel 79' goal
  • goal Florian Wirtz 2'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 53'

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 1 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 6.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Freiburg 18.93% ▼ (-1.39)
Draw 20.87% ▼ (-0.60)
Bayer Leverkusen 60.2% ▲ (+1.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.16% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 2.5 39.84% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 3.5 37.8% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 3.5 62.19% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 4.5 20.4% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 4.5 79.59% ▼ (-0.56)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 65.4% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 0.5 34.6% ▲ (+1.01)
Over 1.5 28.68% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 1.5 71.32% ▲ (+1.08)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 87.14% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 0.5 12.85% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 1.5 60.77% ▲ (+1.65)
Under 1.5 39.22% ▼ (-1.65)

Score analysis

Freiburg 18.93%
Draw 20.87%
Bayer Leverkusen 60.2%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.30)
1-0 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 18.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.87%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.27)
0-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.22)
0-3 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.37)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.21)
0-4 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.29)
2-4 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.13)
0-5 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 60.2%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 9
B. Leverkusen
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
Freiburg
  • Florian Wirtz 36' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 60' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 14'
  • goal Manuel Gulde 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Streich 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Holer 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Freiburg
Feb 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Vincenzo Grifo 29' goal
  • goal Sardar Azmoun 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
B. Leverkusen
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Jonathan Tah 5' yellowcard
  • Kerem Demirbay 16' goal
  • Patrik Schick 65' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 34'
  • goal Matthias Ginter 48'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 51'
  • yellowcard Michael Gregoritsch 53'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
B. Leverkusen
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Moussa Diaby 18' yellowcard
  • Julian Baumgartlinger 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 54' goal
  • Exequiel Palacios 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 3'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 43'
  • yellowcard Kiliann Sildillia 77'
  • goal Janik Haberer 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Freiburg
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 30' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 33' goal
  • Kevin Schade 84' goal
  • Lucas Holer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 32'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 39'
  • goal Charles Aranguiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kossonou Odilon 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
B. Leverkusen
Feb 28, 2021 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Charles Aranguiz 68' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 70' goal
  • Leon Bailey 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ermedin Demirovic 21'
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 50'
  • goal Lucas Holer 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 73'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 77'

Form Data

West Ham 5 - 0 Freiburg
VfL Bochum 1 - 2 Freiburg
Freiburg 1 - 0 West Ham
Freiburg 2 - 2 Bayern
Augsburg 2 - 1 Freiburg
Freiburg 3 - 2 Lens
B. Leverkusen 3 - 2 Qarabag
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Wolfsburg
Qarabag 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
FC Koln 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Mainz
Heidenheim 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen