Bundesliga Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
Mar 10, 2024 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
Wolfsburg
  • Nathan Tella 37' goal
  • Amine Adli 80' yellowcard
  • Florian Wirtz 86' goal
  • yellowcard Yannick Gerhardt 7'
  • yellowcard Moritz Jenz 12'
  • redcard Moritz Jenz 28'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2024 2.30pm
FC Koln 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 5.30pm
Wolfsburg 2 - 3 Stuttgart
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jonas Wind

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 68.13% ▼ (-0.45)
Draw 17.84% ▲ (+0.27)
Wolfsburg 14.03% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.7% ▼ (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.04% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 2.5 34.95% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 3.5 43.06% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 3.5 56.94% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 4.5 24.65% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 4.5 75.35% ▲ (+0.80)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 90.62% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 9.37% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 68.43% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 31.56% ▲ (+0.78)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 62.56% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 37.44% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 25.78% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 74.22% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 68.13%
Draw 17.84%
Wolfsburg 14.03%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.09)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 68.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.84%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.03%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
B. Leverkusen
  • Maximilian Arnold 36' yellowcard
  • Maxence Lacroix 41' goal
  • Bote Baku 45' yellowcard
  • Joakim Maehle 65' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 13'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 37'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 55'
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 56'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 62'
  • yellowcard Jonas Hofmann 74'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Wolfsburg
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Moussa Diaby 17' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 76' goal
  • goal Robert Andrich 28' (OG)
  • goal Maximilian Arnold 54'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Maxence Lacroix 83' yellowcard
  • Aster Vranckx 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 9'
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 83'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 83'
  • goal Paulinho 86'
  • goal Paulinho 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
B. Leverkusen
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Jonathan Tah 28' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 30' yellowcard
  • Florian Wirtz 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renato Steffen 28'
  • yellowcard John Brooks 28'
  • goal Lukas Nmecha 48'
  • goal Maximilian Arnold 51'
  • redcard Maxence Lacroix 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Lucas Alario 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Bote Baku 35'
  • yellowcard Maxence Lacroix 90'+3'

Form Data

Qarabag 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
FC Koln 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Mainz
Heidenheim 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 Bayern
B. Leverkusen 3 - 2 Stuttgart
Wolfsburg 2 - 3 Stuttgart
Frankfurt 2 - 2 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Dortmund
Union Berlin 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 FC Koln