Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Danilho Doekhi 45'+25' goal
  • Jerome Roussillon 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niko Kovac 45'+26'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Arnold 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pavao Pervan 90'+5'

Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2024 5.30pm
Mainz 1 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Robin Gosens

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2024 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jonas Wind

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result

Union Berlin 44.83% (+0.10)
Draw 26.04% (+0.12)
Wolfsburg 29.13% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.82% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.75% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 52.25% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 26.05% (-0.51)
Under 3.5 73.95% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 12.03% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 87.97% (+0.33)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 76.77% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 23.23% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 42.86% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 57.14% (+0.29)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 67.5% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 32.5% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 30.97% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 69.02% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 44.82%
Draw 26.04%
Wolfsburg 29.13%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.04% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.91% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.55% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.04%
Wolfsburg
0-1 @ 8.49% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.13%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Jonas Wind 12' goal
  • Joakim Maehle 30' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 78' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Gosens 28'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Wimmer 84' goal
  • goal Josip Juranovic 72'
DFB-Pokal
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Robin Knoche 12' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 79' goal
  • goal Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 54' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 77' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 24' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Mohwald 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Niko Giesselmann 38' yellowcard
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 49' goal
  • Robin Knoche 55' yellowcard
  • Paul Jaeckel 79' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 83' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastiaan Bornauw 86'