Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Qarabag2 - 2B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Qarabag FK 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen
As they did against Braga in the playoff round, Qarabag will look to relish their underdog status against Leverkusen and require another resolute defensive performance, similar to their last home outing with Die Werkself earlier this season, if they wish to keep the tie alive heading into the second leg. However, stopping the juggernaut that is Leverkusen will be a tall order for the Azerbaijani hosts, and Alonso's side should ultimately have few problems putting themselves in a strong position to progress beyond the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Qarabag FK | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.96% ( -0.23) | 20.62% ( -0.15) | 60.42% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.38% ( 0.33) | 38.61% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.08% ( 0.35) | 60.91% ( -0.36) |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% ( -0.04) | 33.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% ( -0.04) | 70.51% ( 0.03) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( 0.21) | 12.4% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.7% ( 0.43) | 38.3% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK 18.96%
Bayer Leverkusen 60.42%
Draw 20.62%
Qarabag FK | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 18.96% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.88% Total : 60.42% |
How you voted: Qarabag vs B. Leverkusen
Qarabag FK
10.7%Draw
11.9%Bayer Leverkusen
77.4%177
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Qarabag
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Qarabag
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 22:35:48
Result
Bublik
Shelton
Shelton
3 77 6
6 62 4
6 62 4
Result
Lehecka
Monteiro
Monteiro
6 79
4 67
4 67
Result
Medvedev
Korda
Korda
5 77 6
7 64 3
7 64 3
Result
Nadal
Cachin
Cachin
6 65 6
1 77 3
1 77 3
Result
Mensik
Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime
1 0
6 1
6 1
(ret.)
Result
Norrie
Ruud
Ruud
2 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Sinner
Kotov
Kotov
6 7
2 5
2 5
Result
Cobolli
Khachanov
Khachanov
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Ostapenko
Jabeur
Jabeur
0 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Haddad Maia
Sakkari
Sakkari
6 6
4 4
4 4
Result
Swiatek
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
6 6
1 0
1 0
Result
Andreeva
Paolini
Paolini
77 6
62 4
62 4
Result
Gauff
Keys
Keys
64 6 4
77 4 6
77 4 6
Result
Putintseva
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
3 6 6
6 2 2
6 2 2
Result
Bejlek
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 3
6 6
6 6
9.10pm
Collins
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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