Europa League
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Juninho 8' yellowcard
  • Yassine Benzia 26' goal
  • Juninho 45'+2' goal
  • goal Florian Wirtz 70'
  • goal Patrik Schick 90'+2'

Qarabag FK vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Qarabag FK 18.96% (-0.23)
Draw 20.62% (-0.15)
Bayer Leverkusen 60.42% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.95% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.38% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 38.61% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 39.08% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 60.91% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 21.41% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 78.58% (-0.29)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 66.15% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 33.84% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.51% (+0.04)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 87.59% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 12.4% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 61.7% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 38.3% (-0.44)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 18.96%
Draw 20.62%
Bayer Leverkusen 60.42%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 5.14% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.55% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.46% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 18.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.62%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 6.89% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 6.36% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.6% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 3.32% (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.39% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 60.42%

Head to Head

Europa League
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
  • Kevin Medina 25' yellowcard
  • Marko Vesovic 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Gugeshashvili 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tural Bayramov 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 68'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 69'
  • yellowcard Jonas Hofmann 69'
  • goal Victor Okoh Boniface 90'+4'
Europa League
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 4' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 15' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 29' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 35' goal
  • Robert Andrich 43' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 54' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 57' goal
  • goal Tural Bayramov 16'
  • yellowcard Leandro Andrade 19'
  • yellowcard Julio Romao 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Elvin Cafarquliyev 77'