Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.