Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Gosens (9'), Tousart (37')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wirtz (45+8' pen.)
Adli (64'), Andrich (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Dusseldorf
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
20.49%	22.93%	56.58% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21% (

46.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95%

69.05% (

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99%

37.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2%

73.8% (

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

16.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08% (

45.92%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 20.49%

Bayer Leverkusen 56.58%

Draw 22.92%

Union Berlin	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 6.01% 2-1 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.49%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 10.95% 0-2 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 0.99% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.58%