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Leverkusen logo
DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
Apr 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
BayArena
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Dusseldorf

Frimpong (7'), Adli (20'), Wirtz (35', 60' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Tzolis (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf

Leverkusen remain unbeaten heading into the ninth month of the season and are strong favourites heading into this game against lower-league Dusseldorf, leading us to believe they will extend their run to 40 games without defeat with victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
65.53% (-1.497 -1.5) 18.93% (0.72 0.72) 15.54% (0.778 0.78)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-0.693 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (-1.818 -1.82)36.89% (1.82 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (-1.999 -2)59.07% (2.001 2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (-0.869 -0.87)10.54% (0.871 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.76% (-1.991 -1.99)34.24% (1.994 1.99)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (-0.157 -0.16)36.69% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (-0.16 -0.16)73.48% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 65.53%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 15.54%
    Draw 18.93%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.449 0.45)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.274 -0.27)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.86% (-0.2 -0.2)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.414 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.334 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.93%
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.189 0.19)
0-1 @ 3.88% (0.321 0.32)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 15.54%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dusseldorf

Bayer Leverkusen
87.0%
Draw
9.8%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
3.3%
92
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 19
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Dusseldorf
Havertz (40'), Bender (79'), Alario (89' pen.)

Hoffmann (19'), Kownacki (86'), Hennings (87')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Dusseldorf
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Morales (82')
Baker (49'), Morales (61'), Zimmermann (77')
Baker (6' og.), Aranguiz (33'), Bellarabi (39')
Aranguiz (14'), Tah (80')
Feb 17, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Dusseldorf
Havertz (18'), Bailey (66')
Dragovic (21')

Fink (47'), Lukebakio (60'), Hoffmann (82')
Sep 26, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dusseldorf
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Hennings (90' pen.)
Ayhan (42'), Morales (73')
Volland (51', 60')
Havertz (42'), Bailey (42')
Mar 30, 2013 2.30pm
Dusseldorf
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Schwaab (41' og.)
Balogun (21'), Lambertz (39'), Malezas (82')
Schürrle (62', 84'), Kießling (22' pen., 88')
Castro (20'), Reinartz (38')
rhs 2.0
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