Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.42%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.