Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.99%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.