Hamburg logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV
2 - 0
Magdeburg

Benes (9'), Jatta (71')
Ambrosius (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Atik (44'), Bockhorn (83')
Elfadli (78')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Magdeburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Hamburger SV (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Magdeburg

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 3-3 Magdeburg (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.99%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawMagdeburg
59.99% (0.045999999999999 0.05)19.12% (0.026999999999997 0.03)20.89% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 67.14% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.73% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)28.27% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.92% (-0.317 -0.32)49.07% (0.31 0.31)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)9.39% (0.062100000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (-0.152 -0.15)31.61% (0.146 0.15)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.22 -0.22)25.9% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (-0.294 -0.29)60.88% (0.287 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 59.99%
    Magdeburg 20.89%
    Draw 19.12%
Hamburger SVDrawMagdeburg
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.063 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.9% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 59.99%
1-1 @ 7.77% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.43% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.12%
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 3.29% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 30
Magdeburg
3-2
Hamburger SV
Kwarteng (32'), Atik (74'), Ito (86')
Kittel (42'), Reis (90+4')
Oct 23, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hamburger SV
2-3
Magdeburg
Konigsdorffer (58'), Sanne (90+3')
El Hankouri (11'), Atik (51'), Rieckmann (88')
Apr 8, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Hamburger SV
1-2
Magdeburg
Jatta (31')
Holtby (35'), Papadopoulos (48'), Narey (90')
Bulter (60'), Turpitz (90')
Bulter (23'), Preissinger (50'), Kirchhoff (80'), Turpitz (90')
Oct 26, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Magdeburg
0-1
Hamburger SV

Weil (24'), Beck (85'), Niemeyer (90')
Narey (77')
Bates (2')
Bates (53')