Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.62%) and 1-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.