Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.7%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.