Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.