2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

May 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
2 - 2
SC Paderborn

Glatzel (39'), Kittel (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Justvan (43'), Muslija (73' pen.)

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions

Last Game: Magdeburg 3-2 Hamburger SV
Saturday, April 29 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Paderborn

All competitions

Last Game: SC Paderborn 5-1 Braunschweig
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 57.16%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.89%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	SC Paderborn
57.16% ( 0.95)	20.37% ( 0.02)	22.47% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 64.73% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.66% (

-1.3)

32.33% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.05% (

-1.53)

53.95% (

1.53)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.66% (

-0.16)

11.34% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.97% (

-0.35)

36.02% (

0.35)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-1.49)

26.98% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-1.99)

62.33% (

1.99)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 57.16%

SC Paderborn 22.47%

Draw 20.37%

Hamburger SV	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 57.16%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.37%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.76% Total : 22.47%