DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stadion Essen
Hamburg logo

RWE
3 - 4
Hamburger SV

Musel (42'), Doumbouya (56'), Brumme (83')
FT
(aet)
Jatta (37', 54'), Glatzel (66'), Benes (117')
Krahn (40'), Van Der Brempt (72'), Ramos (98'), Ambrosius (106'), Konigsdorffer (120+2')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Rot-Weiss Essen and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Essen

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Last Game: RWE 0-3 Holstein Kiel
Wednesday, March 3 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: Karlsruher 2-2 Hamburger SV
Sunday, August 6 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.78%) and 1-3 (6.64%). The likeliest Rot-Weiss Essen win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%).

Result
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawHamburger SV
24.6% (0.021000000000001 0.02)20.81% (0.152 0.15)54.59% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 65.91% (-0.569 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (-0.747 -0.75)31.97% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (-0.877 -0.88)53.53% (0.875 0.88)
Rot-Weiss Essen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.398 -0.4)25.16% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.55 -0.55)59.88% (0.547 0.55)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (-0.294 -0.29)11.93% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.71% (-0.627 -0.63)37.29% (0.624 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Rot-Weiss Essen 24.6%
    Hamburger SV 54.59%
    Draw 20.81%
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 6.08% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.14% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.86% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.6%
1-1 @ 8.81% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.81%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.183 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.81% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.58% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.43% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.5% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.59%