Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.78%) and 1-3 (6.64%). The likeliest Rot-Weiss Essen win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%).