Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.