Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Elversberg	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
31.27% ( 0.02)	23.78% ( -0.03)	44.94% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.57% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65% (

0.13)

41.34% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26% (

0.14)

63.74% (

-0.14)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.07)

25.54% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

0.1)

60.39% (

-0.1)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

0.06)

18.66% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.01% (

0.1)

49.98% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Elversberg 31.27%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 44.94%

Draw 23.77%

Elversberg	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.27%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.94%