Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.