DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Vohlin-Stadion
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

FV Illertissen
1 - 3
Dusseldorf

Frisorger (41')
Neuberger (22'), Thiel (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Frisorger (3' og.), Vermeij (27'), Tzolis (90+1')
Hoffmann (45+1'), Vermeij (45+1')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FV Illertissen and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Form, Standings, Stats

FV Illertissen

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Last Game: FV Illertissen 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
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Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Dusseldorf
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 80.69%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for FV Illertissen had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.8%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a FV Illertissen win it was 2-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
FV IllertissenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
6.81% (0.019 0.02)12.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)80.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.51% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.95% (0.063999999999993 0.06)31.04% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.56% (0.076000000000001 0.08)52.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
FV Illertissen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.54% (0.103 0.1)48.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08)83.56% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)5.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.56% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FV Illertissen 6.81%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 80.69%
    Draw 12.49%
FV IllertissenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 2.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 6.81%
1-1 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 3% (0.01 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 12.49%
0-2 @ 11.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 10.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 7.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 4.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-5 @ 3.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
0-6 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 80.69%