Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.