DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion Oberwerth

RW Koblenz
0 - 5
Kaiserslautern

FT(HT: 0-3)
Boyd (19', 90'), Niehues (35'), Tomiak (43'), Prince Redondo (66' pen.)
Puchacz (55')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Rot-Weiss Koblenz and Kaiserslautern.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: RW Koblenz 0-3 Jahn
Sunday, August 8 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Schalke 3-0 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, August 5 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Rot-Weiss Koblenz had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Rot-Weiss Koblenz win it was 1-0 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
Rot-Weiss KoblenzDrawKaiserslautern
9.84% (-0.249 -0.25)15.86% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)74.3% (0.33 0.33)
Both teams to score 49.69% (-0.739 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.424 -0.42)36.95% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.462 -0.46)59.14% (0.462 0.46)
Rot-Weiss Koblenz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.29% (-0.789 -0.79)45.7% (0.789 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51% (-0.622 -0.62)81.49% (0.622 0.62)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)8.48% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.59% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)29.41% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rot-Weiss Koblenz 9.84%
    Kaiserslautern 74.29%
    Draw 15.86%
Rot-Weiss KoblenzDrawKaiserslautern
1-0 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
2-1 @ 2.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 9.84%
1-1 @ 7.49% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 15.86%
0-2 @ 11.79% (0.21 0.21)
0-3 @ 9.7% (0.161 0.16)
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.185 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 5.99% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-5 @ 2.95% (0.04 0.04)
1-5 @ 2.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 74.29%

rhs 2.0


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